France forecast 2025 wine output at 34 million hectolitres after a severe summer.
Why it matters: The lower crop outlook could tighten supply for buyers and exporters in one of the world's biggest wine markets. It also matters for European agriculture after another extreme weather season.
- France's agriculture statistics office forecast 2025 wine production at 34 million hectolitres on Sept. 1.
- The estimate is 6% below 2024 and 17% under the 2021-2025 average.
- Reuters said the forecast would make this one of France's weakest harvests in roughly 30 years.
- Météo-France said summer 2025 was the hottest ever recorded in France since measurements began in 1900.
France's agriculture statistics office forecast 2025 wine production at 34 million hectolitres in a Sept. 1 estimate. That would put output below 2024 and well under the 2021-2025 average.
Reuters reported that the forecast would make this one of France's weakest wine harvests in about 30 years, citing damage from heat and drought as well as a smaller vineyard area. The Reuters report said the decline reflected vines and grapes affected by the summer weather.
Météo-France said summer 2025 was the hottest ever recorded in France since measurements began in 1900. It also said the season brought repeated elevated and very high forest-fire danger levels, a record since its forest-weather service launched in 2023.
The harvest outlook matters for a major wine producer and exporter, but the exact market effect will depend on how the final crop compares with the forecast and how the rest of the season develops.
By the numbers
- 34 million hectolitres - France's 2025 wine output forecast from the agriculture statistics office.
- 6% - How far the forecast sits below 2024 production.
- 17% - How far the forecast sits below the 2021-2025 average.
Yes, but: The 30-year-low comparison is Reuters' framing of the forecast, not a separate official estimate.